Lead Analyst – Crisis Monitoring and Response System
Job Title : Lead Analyst – Crisis Monitoring and Response System
Reporting to : Task Team Leader
Dept/Div : EASPR
Appt Type : Short Term Consultant (max. 150 days in a year)
Closing date : 5 September 2009
Location : Jakarta, Indonesia

The Government of Indonesia, through its National Planning and Development Agency (BAPPENAS) is preparing a monitoring system to determine the impact of the global economic crisis on Indonesia over the course of the next year.  The monitoring system will generate real time information across Indonesia so that appropriate policy responses can be employed to alleviate the impact of the crisis on the poor and vulnerable.

Background
This crisis monitoring system would incorporate following key activities:

• Identification of a set of key indicators, as well as their data resources, which can be regularly monitored. These indicators will serve as the first assessment of where the crisis is having an impact, how it is being transmitted to households, what coping mechanisms households are using in response, and the consequent outcomes;
• Development of a household survey to provide data on key indicators where the data are not available from existing sources, or would not be available in a timely manner;
• Development of a desktop reporting system which will allow end-users to display the monitoring indicators in different ways, such as displaying a national- or province-wide summary of a single indicator or policy focus area, a kabupaten-specific summary of all indicators;
• Rapid qualitative assessment of the accuracy of the signals, the underlying causes and trends driving these indicators, and the potential effectiveness of various policy responses.

The World Bank is supporting the development and execution of the crisis monitoring system by providing technical assistance to the government across all aspects of the monitoring and response system, including information systems and managing the reporting process.

Duties and Responsibilities
The Lead Analyst is a part of the World Bank Technical Assistance Team assisting the Government of Indonesia in establishing the CMRS. The Lead Analyst is responsible for providing leadership in the analysis to ensure the analysis process and activities operate to achieve and support the overall objectives of the CMRS project, particularly:

1. Develop and establish overall quantitative and qualitative analytical framework, in liaison with Technical Assistance Team, Poverty Team, Bappenas and relevant stakeholders, which should consist of quantitative and qualitative aspects of the analysis.
2. Develop and establish quantitative analysis plans using the data collected through households and facility surveys and other BPS existing surveys, which detailing specific analysis activities, processes and outputs (e.g. determine thresholds of each indicator, identify signals, depict trends, change). Ensure timely preparation and implementation of the analysis plans.
3. Coordinate the analysis with SMERU, an Indonesian research organization, who will provide qualitative assessments of the accuracy of the signals, the underlying causes of changes and trends of these indicators
4. Identify ongoing revision of key indicators to be monitored, if necessary.  Coordinate results from quantitative and qualitative analysis to decide whether the set of indicators being monitored may need to be revised.
5. Develop a technical plan for the development of desktop reporting system, which detailing specific type of information (indicators) and display format, for each administrative level (national, provincial, district) to be presented in the system.

Produce comprehensive analysis reports after each survey round and a final report.  Reports after each survey round will identify at the district and provincial levels where strong impacts are occurring due to the crisis for each of the selected indicators as well as an overall picture of the impact of the crisis at the national level. The reports will also provide suggestions regarding the monitored indicators, whether improvement or revision on them are needed. A final report synthesizing the analysis from all survey rounds and discussing the potential effectiveness of various policy responses.

Outputs of Consultancy
The consultant will produce the following outputs during the course of the consultancy:

• An overall quantitative and qualitative analytical framework, which map all activities, along with timetable of specific action plan.
• Quantitative analysis plans, which detailing specific analysis activities, processes and outputs.

Comprehensive reports after each survey round and a final report.

Management
The Lead Analyst of Crisis Monitoring System and Response will be assigned to the World Bank’s Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Department (PREM) and be supervised by the World Bank’s Poverty Group Task Team Leader in Indonesia.

Length of Contract
The Consultant will be on Short Term Consultant (STC) appointment status with maximum of 150 working days in a year.

Selection Criteria

• PhD or Masters in economics, statistics, social sciences or public policy, with a focus on empirical applications.
• Minimum 8 years (5 years with a PhD) relevant work experience in data analysis which involving national or large level of data collection, data management and analysis.
• Detailed knowledge of quantitative analysis of survey data and proven experience constructing, managing and implementing analytical framework.
• Proven experience working with developing country government counterparts
• Excellent writing and communication skills in English.
• Fluency or proficiency in Bahasa Indonesia is an advantage
• Proven experience working with Lot Quality Assurance Sampling (LQAS) is an advantage

How to Apply

• Indonesian and Non-Indonesian Nationals are welcome to apply
• Please only submit your cover letter, CV, and references (at least three names with full contact details) to: jobsindonesia@worldbank.org.
• Do not forget to state your name and position applied in the e-mail subject.
• Deadline of application is 5 September 2009. Late submission will not be considered; hard copy applications and phone inquiries will not be accepted.